| First of all, let’s talk about what it is not. It is
not cheating. Cheats abound at the craps table. There are rail birds
who attempt to steal your chips from the rack when you are not looking.
Little old ladies who accidentally pick your winnings up from the table
by mistake. Crooks who try to substitute gaffed dice into the game.
Past-posters who place their bets after the decision has been made.
You’ll even find trick-shot artists who have mastered the
whip shot – a difficult throw that sends both dice spinning on a
vertical axis all the way down the table without tumbling over. The
whip shot, by the way, is rarely used in today’s casinos. Craps
supervisors are trained to recognize the throw, and modern, razor-edged
dice rarely maintain a vertical axis on craps tables equipped with speed
bumps and rubber bumpers. Still, the occasional cheat will attempt the
shot - usually accompanied by the box man’s call of “no roll.”
Even so, casino-legal precision shooting is a
reality. It is not a perfect art. It is a percentage throw. It is not
so much controlling the dice control as it is influencing the dice.
Like the expert card counter at blackjack, the skilled precision shooter
often finds he is playing a positive expectation game. How much skill
does it take? He only needs to control one roll in forty-three. Can
you do it? Absolutely!
Let’s take a look at the dice. Each die has six
sides, numbered one through six. That yields a total of thirty-six
possible combinations of numbers. Just about every beginning craps book
contains a numbers distribution table similar to chart 1.1. Take a
moment to review it. Understanding the random distribution of numbers
is key to understanding the controlled roll.
| NUMBER ROLLED
|
NUMBER OF
COMBINATIONS |
ACTUAL DICE
COMBINATIONS |
| 2 |
1 |
1-1 |
| 3 |
2 |
1-2, 2-1 |
| 4 |
3 |
1-3, 2-2, 3-1 |
| 5 |
4 |
1-4, 2-3, 3-2, 4- |
| 6 |
5 |
1-5, 2-4, 3-3, 4-2,
5-1 |
| 7 |
6 |
1-6, 2-5, 3-4, 4-3,
5-2, 6-1 |
| 8 |
5 |
2-6, 3-5, 4-4, 5-3,
6-2 |
| 9 |
4 |
3-6, 4-5, 5-4, 6-3 |
| 10 |
3 |
4-6, 5-5, 6-4 |
| 11 |
2 |
5-6, 6-5 |
| 12 |
1 |
6-6 |
The seven is the most powerful number on the craps
layout. Careful study of the above chart reveals that the seven is the
most frequently rolled number. Out of thirty-six possible combinations
of the dice, there are six which add up to seven. It can roll 1-6, 2-5,
3-4, 4-3, 5-2, or 6-1. All of the true-odds calculations in craps are
based on the number of ways the seven can roll when compared to any
other number. For example, there are six ways to make the seven versus
five ways to roll the six. The true odds are 6-5 against the six
rolling before the seven.
The precision shooter’s task is to alter those odds.
How is this accomplished? One way is by rolling more naturals - sevens
and elevens - on the come out roll and fewer sevens after the point has
been established.
Look at the table again. Let’s say you could roll one
less seven in thirty-six rolls, and one more six. What effect would
that have on the game’s odds? You would have rolled six sixes and five
sevens. This would give you a clear advantage over the casino on the
six. Further scrutiny reveals that the axis-adjusted true odds on the
eight yield a 1-1 even-money bet. But since the casino is paying you
7-6 for your place bet on the eight, you have an advantage over the
house on that number as well. Shifting the odds in favor of the player.
That, my friend, is what precision shooting is all about.
|